Trump tariffs: What India can learn from Canada’s failed trade talks with US

Trump tariffs: What India can learn from Canada’s failed trade talks with US
Canada referred to as off its commerce negotiations with Trump administration on August 21, 2026. (AP file picture)

Canada’s agency stance to name off commerce negotiations with the US and the Donald Trump administration’s unpredictable insurance policies maintain key classes for India, in response to Ajay Srivastava, founding father of World Commerce Analysis Initiative (GTRI).Canada referred to as off its commerce negotiations with the US on August 21, 2026, and withdrew its negotiating crew after realising that Washington was providing solely restricted tariff reduction in change for concessions that might undermine Canadian manufacturing and constrain the nation’s sovereignty.The US described the breakdown of three days of intensive commerce negotiations with Canada as a “missed alternative” after Ottawa suspended the talks and instructed its negotiating crew to return dwelling, whereas Washington imposed 50percentt tariffs on Canadian items.US Commerce Consultant Jamieson Greer mentioned Canada had refused to conclude an settlement although, in response to him, the US had provided to offer Canada with the “finest remedy of any main exporter” accessing the American market. Greer mentioned Canada’s introduction of latest calls for and revisions to commitments made earlier within the talks had upset the steadiness that negotiators had reached.Ottawa mentioned it could introduce “dollar-for-dollar” retaliatory tariffs from September 8. The transfer introduced an finish to talks that had began on February 1, 2025, after the primary spherical of latest US tariffs was imposed.

Why US-Canada commerce negotiations have been necessary

The negotiations have been notable as a result of Canada and the US have loved greater than three a long time of free commerce. The association started with the North American Free Commerce Settlement, which took impact in 1994, and was later changed by the US-Mexico-Canada Settlement in 2020. The USMCA continues to function and permits most qualifying items from North America to maneuver between the international locations with out duties.The necessity for a brand new settlement arose after the Donald Trump administration launched extra tariffs outdoors the USMCA framework, on prime of the usual World Commerce Group, or most-favoured-nation, duties.Among the many measures have been Part 232 national-security tariffs of as much as 50% on Canadian metal, aluminum, copper and associated merchandise, together with 25% duties on vehicles and elements. Washington additionally launched separate tariffs masking lumber and wooden merchandise.The US moreover utilized a ten% Part 301 tariff to a variety of Canadian items, arguing that Canada had not accomplished sufficient to implement its prohibition on imports linked to compelled labour.It later used Part 338 to levy 50% duties on sure Canadian exports, together with wine, cement, hockey gear and different shopper merchandise. A few of these tariffs have been imposed even on items that met USMCA guidelines of origin.The “WTO-violative” tariffs decreased the industrial certainty that the USMCA was meant to offer. Canada subsequently entered the bilateral talks searching for exemptions, significant tariff cuts and safeguards in opposition to extra unilateral measures earlier than the USMCA’s 2026 joint overview.

US affords little concessions

GTRI lists the restricted and conditional reduction that the US was keen to offer whereas persevering with to introduce new calls for.The US proposed slicing the 50% tariffs on metal and aluminum to 25%, however tied the discount to restrictive quotas.The US provided to deliver the tariff on automobiles manufactured in Canada down from 25% to fifteen%, however refused to offer the identical remedy for medium- and heavy-duty vehicles. This could have put Canadian-made Ford F-350, F-450 and F-550 vehicles, together with Common Motors’ Silverado, at an obstacle.The US proposed non permanent safety in opposition to broader Part 338 tariffs and recommended suspending 50% duties on roughly $20 billion price of Canadian shopper and agricultural exports. Nevertheless, the reduction was reportedly tied to tight import quotas, concessions involving Canada’s supply-management system for dairy and different agricultural merchandise, and the removing of provincial curbs on gross sales of American alcohol.Essentially the most contentious concern concerned calls for that went past conventional commerce coverage. The US needed Canada to face limits on its capability to barter commerce agreements independently, whereas additionally searching for preferential entry to Canadian crucial minerals.

Why Canada referred to as off the commerce negotiations

Canadian Prime Minister Mark Carney described the last-minute phrases put ahead by Washington as “uneconomic” and “unfair,” saying the US had demanded an excessive amount of whereas providing too little in return.Ottawa decided that the proposed association would preserve vital US tariffs in place whereas additionally limiting Canada’s freedom to handle its commerce relationships, strategic assets, agricultural system and cultural insurance policies.Canada will now levy matching duties on chosen US imports, together with metal, dairy merchandise, family home equipment, agricultural equipment, pulp and paper, and electronics.Carney accepted that the retaliatory measures would push up costs at dwelling and restrict shopper alternative. Nevertheless, he argued that agreeing to an imbalanced deal would inflict higher long-term hurt on Canadian trade and sovereignty.

What this implies for India

In keeping with GTRI’s Ajay Srivastava, for India, which is negotiating its personal commerce settlement with the US, Canada’s expertise affords a warning.“New Delhi ought to search clear, binding and sturdy tariff concessions earlier than making commitments on agriculture, digital regulation, crucial minerals or authorities procurement,” he says.“An settlement that merely reduces some US tariffs whereas leaving Washington free to impose recent duties beneath Sections 232, 301 or different home legal guidelines would supply little certainty,” he provides.India ought to subsequently safeguard its regulatory and strategic autonomy and keep away from making unilateral concessions outdoors the negotiating course of. Any concessions needs to be made solely when the positive factors are balanced, enforceable and shielded from future unilateral tariff measures, he concludes.India and the US stay engaged in discussions for a commerce deal. The Trump administration decreased the 50% tariffs imposed final yr on India to 18% in February. Nevertheless, the US Supreme Courtroom later dominated that Trump’s reciprocal tariffs are unlawful. The Trump administration has since then been in search of methods to impose tariffs on international locations all over the world.

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