Oil Prices Fall as OPEC and IEA Slash 2026 Demand Outlooks

Regardless of the continued stalemate within the U.S.-Iran talks and protracted dangers to transport within the Center East, oil costs fell in Asian buying and selling on Thursday, weighed down by cuts to 2026 oil demand forecasts from each OPEC and the Worldwide Vitality Company.

Brent Crude costs dropped by 0.5% to commerce beneath $89 per barrel at $88.56, easing from the Wednesday intraday excessive of over $89 a barrel, amid demand issues and a bearish EIA stock report.

The U.S. benchmark, WTI Crude, traded 0.60% decrease at $82.77 within the Asian session.

On Wednesday, each OPEC and the IEA slashed their oil demand forecasts for 2026 because of the ongoing closure of the Strait of Hormuz.

The IEA expects in its August monthly report that oil demand will stoop by 1.6 million barrels per day (bpd) this yr. That’s a 510,000 bpd decline from the anticipated determine within the July report, which had assumed the Strait of Hormuz oil flows would progressively rise.

Nonetheless, the renewed hostilities on the finish of July and the impasse in U.S.-Iran talks have prompted the IEA to mission a lot bigger demand destruction attributable to increased costs than had been anticipated in early July.

OPEC also cut its demand forecast for 2026 on Wednesday. Not like the IEA, the cartel expects demand progress, though its outlook was slashed to 580,000 bpd, down from the 780,000 bpd progress anticipated within the July report.

Additionally weighing on oil costs was a shock large construct in U.S. crude oil inventories, which noticed a massive increase of 17.4 million barrels in the course of the week ending August 7, per knowledge from the U.S. Vitality Info Administration (EIA) out on Wednesday.

The rise brings business stockpiles to 424.4 million barrels, in response to authorities knowledge, which are actually simply 2% beneath the five-year common for this time of yr. The massive stock improve was predominantly pushed by a 1.14 million bpd improve in crude oil imports week-on-week, whereas crude exports fell by 627,000 bpd on the week to August 7.

By Tsvetana Paraskova for Oilprice.com

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