India Q1 GDP: Economy grows 7.8%, beating estimates

Ladies purchase a rakhi from a roadside stall in Nagaon District, Assam, India, on August 26, 2026, forward of Raksha Bandhan, a Hindu pageant celebrating the bond between brothers and sisters.

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India’s economic system grew by 7.8% within the quarter to the tip of June, primarily pushed by robust efficiency of the monetary, actual property, data know-how {and professional} companies sectors.

The studying is comfortably above a Reuters poll of expectations for 7.1% progress and follows 7.8% progress within the earlier quarter.

Whereas agriculture and allied sectors reported tepid progress, the efficiency of producing and companies sectors sharply improved within the June quarter, India’s Ministry of Statistics and Program Implementation stated in a launch on Monday.

The Iran struggle has not impacted India’s progress as feared, Aastha Gudwani, India chief economist at Barclays, instructed CNBC’s Inside India earlier.

Of the 20 high-frequency indicators tracked by Barclays, solely seven put the April-to-June quarter common progress charge slower than the Jan-March quarter, she defined, including that shopper demand has stayed “sturdy.” Manufacturing and repair sectors, car gross sales and mortgage progress are additionally holding up very well, she added.

Earlier within the month, India’s central financial institution warned that even because the nation’s economic system had remained “resilient” amid geopolitical uncertainty, progress was anticipated to sluggish over this monetary yr. 

The Reserve Financial institution of India had estimated that India’s economy would grow by 7.0% within the three months ending June and 6.7% in the course of the monetary yr ending March 2027.

The central financial institution expects “the turbulent world financial surroundings” to have an effect on home financial exercise as vitality costs and provide chain pressures stay “elevated and unsure.”

The El Niño situations might result in a poor and uneven south-west monsoon and pose dangers to India’s farm sector and rural demand, the central financial institution stated earlier this month.

The influence of excessive vitality costs is already being felt in India, with the nation’s inflation climbing steadily for 9 straight months to 4.45% in July. But the RBI, in contrast to a few of its Asian friends, did not hike interest rates in its August coverage.

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